Live from the Big East Tournament

I apologize for royally slacking off here for the past few weeks, but real life intervened. I will be live-tweeting from Madison Square Garden for all UConn’s games in the Big East Tournament (or until my phone runs out of batteries). Just an absurd ending yesterday sets up a classic UConn v. Syracuse matchup today at noon. Cherish it because it very well be the last time we get to see these two squads match up on the garden floor (UConn could be ineligible for next year’s BET, Syracuse could be out of the conference by then and certainly will be gone by 2013). It doesn’t get any better than UConn v. Syracuse at the Garden. Get psyched, and check the Twitter feed @UConnbynumbers

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UConn v. Villanova by the SHABAZZ

Photo Credit: UConn Memes on Facebook

Screw the numbers. Screw the math. I will be back tomorrow with a rational breakdown of tonight’s absurdity which will (presumably) highlight the excellent play of Jeremy Lamb and the yeoman defensive work of Roscoe Smith.

Until then, the transformation of Shabazz Napier into Taliek Brown has entered phase two:

Step 1. Draw the ire of the entire state of Connecticut
Step 2. Hit absurd game winner:

httpv://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=wA64eJEwyts

Step 3. ????
Step 4. National Championship

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An Examination of UConn’s 3 Point Defense

I have a new post up over at The UConn Blog examining UConn’s 3-point defense. I’ll be back over here with some deleted research that didn’t make the cut this weekend.

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Pat Forde Is an Unmitigated Douche

Derp de derp de derpity derp.

While perusing the reaction to UConn’s self-imposed APR sanctions, I came across a startling discovery. Pat Forde still exists. I used to read his Forde Yard Dash (punsies!) columns back when he was at ESPN. Those were the columns where he’d bold-face 40 random words (generally, but not always, nouns), talk about his experiences being the creepy old guy at campus bars and restaurants and throw in some swimsuit photos he’d found in the dusty corners of the internet. The swimsuiters were called “Dashettes”. I’m sure they were flattered to have received such an honor. Mind you, this was during the first golden age of internet porn. I was 14 at the time, but even I thought it was weird.

I figured Forde had gone the Mike Tyson route and faded into ‘bolivian. Turns out I was right. Assuming ‘bolivian is Yahoo! sports. No one reads Yahoo! sports. Well, I should re-phrase that. No one who knows anything about sports reads Yahoo! sports. My Mom reads Yahoo! sports.

So I was a little annoyed when Forde took a break from reviewing chicken wing establishments and objectifying women (didn’t we invent fraternities for this purpose?), to take aim at UConn’s self-imposed APR sanctions. Never one to let the facts get in the way of a good story, Forde omits nearly all of Susan Herbst’s reasons for requesting the waiver, while upholding the shining tenets of the APR system. It’s dreck of the lowest order. I hadn’t been this incensed by an article since Bill Simmon’s crony “Jack-O” penned “Why UConn Will NOT Win the National Championship”, so I figured I’d respond in kind: with a  full on “Fire Joe Morgan” style send up.

Also, for the record Jack-O’s reasons UConn wouldn’t win the tournament (they’re too popular, Jim Calhoun is a big meaney, one time Khalid El-Amin smoked weed), failed to touch on the reason that UConn might not even make this years’ tournament (they might all forget how to shoot midseason).

As for Forde, I’m deliberately not linking to his article. Part of the reason for Forde’s insolence is that he knows it will incur plenty of page views from pissed off UConn fans. Instead I’m reprinting the entire article here without permission. If the RIAA, MPAA, or whatever lobbying group Yahoo! has in its pockets that controls black-pajama’d forces, wants to go all Kim Dotcom on my New York apartment, bring it the fuck on. I’ll be within 15 feet of the front door. (As I said, it’s a New York apartment, >15 feet from the front door is the apartment 2 away from mine.)

Again, Forde’s scribbling in italics because WordPress doesn’t support Crayon.

If there ever were a time I’d love to hear Jim Calhoun speak publicly, it’s today.

Let’s start things off by kicking a guy while he’s laid-up in bedrest. Classy opener. Do continue.

That won’t happen, of course. The coach is dealing with a spinal issue that has forced him to miss Connecticut’s past two games, so he’s off-radar and presumably recuperating and/or being treated. Hopefully, he gets well soon because we need to hear from him.

He’s “presumably” recuperating. Thanks for throwing that qualifier in there. He might be doing things that would not qualify as recuperating such as Grecco-Roman wrestling a Kodiak bear or playing Wii Tennis. Pat Forde’s going to go out on a limb and “presume” that he’s recuperating though.

We need to hear Jim “Not A Dime Back” Calhoun, of all stubborn souls, give voice to the remarkable groveling his university is doing on behalf of his basketball program to save it from a 2013 NCAA tournament ban. An Associated Press story Wednesday said UConn has petitioned the governing body of college athletics to change its rules and let the Huskies play in a tourney they’re currently ineligible for.

Isn’t groveling what the NCAA wants? Isn’t that the point of all their PR-aimed punishments? To shame the offending school and show that they have control over college sports? Isn’t that the deal? UConn admits past transgressions, shows that it’s changed its ways, and then proposes a compromise punishment by which the program accepts punitive measures, but the players (all of whom have earned perfect APR marks in their careers to date) are spared.

I would love to hear the eternally unapologetic Calhoun feign penitence for the academic underachievement of his program – underachievement profound enough that it has the Huskies falling short of NCAA Academic Progress Rate minimums in order to be eligible for March Madness.

At this point Forde (or one of his editors) declares in a photo caption:

“Despite being away on leave, Jim Calhoun is glaringly absent as his bosses beg the NCAA to let his program play in next year’s tournament.”

You see, Jim Calhoun is ducking this. He has faked this whole spinal stenosis thing—the intense back pain, the inability to be with his team during their most dire of circumstances, all a ruse!—because he knew the precise moment the AP would run with the story on his school’s petition to be eligible for the 2013 NCAA tournament. Calhoun has such intricate knowledge of the government that he knew exactly how long it would take Pat Eaton-Robb’s request to obtain the documents through the Freedom of Information act to be processed. Don’t sleep on Jimmy C. His spine is clairvoyant.

I would be fascinated to hear Calhoun, without reading a script through gritted teeth, toe the company line of concessions in exchange for the chance to play for the ’13 national title. Those concessions include reducing the number of regular-season games from 27 to 23; forfeiting a Big East postseason revenue share; no head-coach recruiting off-campus in the fall of 2012; extra time in study hall; and a Calhoun-led tour of inner-city schools to stress the importance of education.

Notable omission from Forde’s paragraph: Herbst detailing the new academic support system UConn has implemented which has produced tangible academic progress over the past two years. But why would anyone care about academic progress when applying for an APR waiver? Oh, right. “Waivers can be granted for a variety of reasons but generally include demonstrated academic improvement, active presidential involvement, meeting certain APR benchmarks and implementation of an APR improvement plan.”

So, I’d say it’s fairly pertinent that in her waiver request UConn’s actively involved president demonstrated academic improvement via the recently implemented APR improvement plan. Good omit Patty. Carry on.

Listening to Calhoun pleading for UConn’s postseason life would be like Bob Knight’s Indiana news conference in 2000, when he half-heartedly tried to apologize for choking Neil Reed.

Because, you know, failing to live up to an arbitrary NCAA standard—for which the school is receiving a second punishment because the rule was changed after the first went into effect—is the equivalent of choking a kid…

The alternative was a firing, so he tried his best, but let’s just say he didn’t score too high on the contrition meter. It was just enough to earn another chance, but sure enough, Knight grabbed a student a few months later and summarily was fired.

So…in this metaphor the students’ academic records (intelligence quotient?) play the role of Neil Reed? So if Calhoun weren’t currently injured, he’d be at practice choking his players stupid? Is this the connection Forde’s trying to make here?

But even if Calhoun himself never begs out loud, there is an easy answer from the NCAA to this request for an APR waiver from UConn.

No.

The rules are the rules. Abide by them. Take the penalty.

Forde’s right. Speaking strictly in the present tense, these are the rules. However, during the season which has torpedoed UConn’s 4-year rolling APR score, these were not the rules. Instead the rules were: if you fail to attain a 900 4-year rolling APR, you get docked scholarships. Those were the rules. UConn took the penalty. They were docked the scholarships. Calhoun abides.

Athletic powerhouses accustomed to getting their way try this kind of thing from time to time when they’re facing sanctions – offer to cut off a pinkie toe yourself in hopes that the NCAA will spare the whole foot.

Oh I can get you a pinkie toe, Pat Forde. I can get you a toe by 3 pm today… with nail polish. There are ways, you don’t want to know about ‘em, believe me. You know what else Forde? I got buddies who died face-down in the muck so you could take this smugly condescending tone with your internet readership. FORGET ABOUT THE FUCKING TOE!

Ohio State just tried it in football – and still lost the foot. Now UConn is trying it in basketball.

How about, instead of continuing your role as the NCAA’s lap-dog, you stick up for the very kids the NCAA is supposed to protect? The fucking amateurs! The kids with pristine academic records who are currently barred from participating the 2013 NCAA tournament because of a rule passed after they enrolled in school. How’s that for fair? WHO’S THE FUCKING NIHILIST HERE?! ….YOU HUMAN PARAQUAT!

It takes an impressive amount of gall for the Huskies to make this pitch.

Does it now? Does it really? Does it really take “an impressive amount of gall” for a school to stick up for its innocent student athletes and try to prevent them from being collateral damage and serving time for an ex-post facto violation of a rule that was put in place after all of them committed to the school in the first place? Does it take an “impressive amount of gall” for them to apply for a waiver based on the fact that they’ve codified plans for academic improvement and already seen encouraging results?

We remember that UConn was on NCAA probation and Calhoun already had been suspended for three Big East games in 2012 when he cut down the Final Four nets last April. That left a bad-enough taste in America’s mouth. Bargaining for another chance at glory while failing to adhere to a different NCAA policy is fairly brazen.

We do remember that. We remember when Calhoun and 12 players, none of whom were remotely implicated in the scandal for which Calhoun was to serve a suspension, hoisted the trophy in Houston. We also remember that when Calhoun cut down the NCAA nets last April they were eligible for the 2013 NCAA tournament—regardless of their (then yet to be released) APR score from 2009-’10. That rule wasn’t in fucking books yet. Surely Pat Forde will mention that in the next paragraph…

UConn president Susan Herbst put her best spin on this entreaty to the NCAA on Wednesday, calling the school’s request for preferential treatment “a very compelling case” and saying UConn will be “deeply disappointed” if it doesn’t get its way.

Her words were not that UConn would be deeply disappointed if UConn “doesn’t get its way”. That’s Pat Forde editorializing to make UConn sound like a schoolyard bully. Instead Herbst laid out the (rather compelling) argument that UConn missing the 2013 tournament, “would be unfair to innocent young people…Regulatory bodies should not change rules retroactively.” Surely Forde has to concede at least that point.

Herbst harped on the fact that the APR penalizes current players for the misdeeds of past players. Well, welcome to NCAA justice. It’s not ideal, but it’s the way of the college athletics world. 

Not ideal? Do you know how many national constitutions’ ban the creation of ex-post facto laws? Fucking Iran ban’s the creation of ex-post facto laws. Women aren’t even allowed to testify in court, yet even Iran won’t allow its citizens to be punished for laws passed retroactively. So, yeah, I’d go ahead and say Forde’s “NCAA justice” is just a smidge less than ideal.

USC, for one, doesn’t want to hear your whining.

Here’s a suggested way for Herbst to handle it if the letter of rejection comes back from Indianapolis: Instead of railing at the NCAA, apologize to those current players. Better yet, have Calhoun apologize to them. They were let down by their school and their program, which for years didn’t care enough to even meet the hardly rigorous APR minimum standards. (U.S. Secretary of Education Arne Duncan last March: “The bar for postseason play is still too low.”)

Again, Duncan says this last March. This was nearly a full academic year after UConn’s 2009-’10 score was earned. The current players, which Forde says were “let down by their school and their program”, are, in fact, being penalized for actions which their school and program committed years prior to their decisions to join the program, which then became transgressions months after they enrolled at the school. NOWHERE IN THIS ARTICLE DOES FORDE MENTION THAT.

It’s not the fault of the governing body, which enacts and enforces rules passed by its membership. It’s the fault of an institution of higher education for failing to educate its most high-profile students. Own it.

UConn’s poor academic score are certainly their own fault. I think you’ll see, if you read the self-imposed sanctions, that they do “own it.” However, here are some things that are the fault of the governing body. Let’s set aside the fact that UConn’s rising sophomores and incoming freshman are effectively black-balled from the 2013 NCAA tournament unless the waiver is approved (they’d still miss the 2013 tourney if they transferred), because I’ve made that point.

Let’s concentrate on the other glaring omission from Forde’s handiwork: the NCAA’s bizarre adherence to using old data. If the NCAA chose to use the most recent data to determine 2013 tournament eligibility those same UConn student-athletes would be eligible based on their own academic merits. Instead the NCAA adheres to a 1-year data lag (again, no mention of this by Forde), which ensures that in any APR case, at least 2-classes of student athletes are held accountable for sub-par academic work they weren’t even assigned.

This is particularly important because the most obvious time for a student athlete to fall short in the APR is when they are about to leave school whether it be to pursue a professional basketball career (in the NBA, NBADL or overseas), transfer or graduate. After all, current students must meet individual academic requirements to play, so that incentive is already there. By adhering to the 1-year data lag, the NCAA ensures that the APR almost always punishes student athletes for the transgressions of those who have come before them, and that those who fall short academically almost always punish entire classes of students they’ve not yet interacted with. That is the fault of the governing body.

I wonder whether Herbst was pained when other schools were falling short of the APR number. Did she grieve for the athletes at Southwestern Athletic Conference schools Jackson State and Southern when they were banned from competing for the 2011 SWAC football championship?

You mean the same Jackson State who applied for and received an APR waiver based on their academic progress? Is that the horribly oppressed small-school you’re referring to? Also, who’s to say Herbst didn’t? Don’t you mean she presumably didn’t? Or did “presumably” find its way into the paragraph about Calhoun “presumably” recuperating because you accidentally mouse-dragged it there, while pleasuring yourself to pictures of your beloved Dashettes? And what the fuck does this have to do with anything? I know Forde has crusaded on the topic before, but…what? Is UConn responsible for submitted waivers to programs that aren’t there own? I understand Forde’s point that the APR unfairly targets smaller institutions, but doesn’t his “take one of the big boys down” campaign here fly in the face of that? Wouldn’t punishing UConn only give more weight to a system Forde readily admits is unfair?

Perhaps she was, but I missed the comments. More likely, the APR is an injustice only when its UConn’s ox being gored.

Bottom line: The biggest problem in college athletics is not football and basketball programs buying players or making deals with agents or treating athletes to under-the-table perks while in school. Those are major problems that need constant monitoring, but that’s not the worst thing.

The worst thing is academic malfeasance. When athletes learn nothing away from the court, it corrupts the academic mission of the schools – the very reason for their existence.

The above paragraph is the most dangerous of all, and here’s why. Forde has successfully framed this situation as a case solely of UConn feeling it is above the law when it comes to academic performance. He’s made no mention of the fact that the rule changed, or even that UConn has already been punished for the same shortcomings its trying to avoid. Instead it’s portrayed as a dichotomous issue: either you care about the academics of student athletes (UConn should be punished), or you don’t (UConn can doesn’t get punished because its above the law).

Moreover, Forde’s spoon feeding this gross over-simplification to people with no familiarity with the case at all. Yet they make up the court of public opinion that the NCAA holds itself accountable to.

Making a mockery of education while in pursuit of athletic glory should have consequences. And now it does, in the form of the APR and its penalties for underachievers.

Penalties like the one UConn is already serving: a loss of scholarships. Penalties like the ones UConn proposed (a loss of tournament revenue, limited future recruiting contact, etc.) Penalties which will hold the program accountable without the collateral damage of affecting innocent student athletes.

There should be no bargaining to avoid those penalties, no switching the rules when the results aren’t in your favor.

“No switching the rules” seems like a particularly odd admonishment for a concluding paragraph to an article arguing that a school should serve a punishment for a rule that was adopted A YEAR AND A HALF AFTER THE TRANSGRESSIONS IN QUESTION WERE COMMITTED! The “results” Forde is referring to occurred in the 2009-’10 academic year, the eligibility “rules” Forde is accusing UConn of trying to change were adopted on October 27,2011.

Most of us learn that as children; hopefully UConn will learn it now.

As children, most of us learn that if there’s a sketchy looking older dude at our school eating the chicken wings and passing around pictures of ladies in their underwear, we call the police. As adults we apparently give the skeezball a job at Yahoo! news, so he can inform the likes of my mother on the happenings of college sports.

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UConn self-imposes APR Penalties

Today the AP released UConn’s plan for sanctions which would be put forth if the team were eligible for the 2013 NCAA tournament despite it’s APR shortcomings. (Full text available in PDF form via the Courant). Because their 4-year rolling APR score announced at the end of last season (which encompassed academic years from 2006-’07 to 2009-’10), fell below 900 UConn was docked 2 scholarships (in addition to those garnished for previous recruiting violations). The 2009-’10 single-year APR score was said to be the one bringing the rolling average down.

This fall, after UConn had received its punishment and a full school year removed from the offending year, the NCAA voted to increase APR penalties by changing the eligibility requirements for the NCAA tournament to include a 4-year rolling APR score of at least 900, or a 2-year rolling score of 930. Both UConn’s 4-year and 2-year rolling score (which would encompass the 2009-’10 and 2010-’11 school years) for the 2013 tournament  would be below the 900 and 930 marks respectively.

The NCAA is still considering using more up-to-date APR scores and could change the 2-year rolling average in question for the 2013 NCAA tournament to encompass the 2010-’11 and 2011-’12 academic years, in which case UConn would be eligible (assuming this year’s 2nd semester grades are similar to the first semester). However UConn beat writer Dave Borges tweeted that Academic Performance Committee chariman (and University of Hartford president) Walt Harrison says using the more up-to-date data would be, “incredibly difficult.”

UConn’s self-imposed penalties would forfeit all tournament-related income to the school for the 2012-2013 NCAA season (in effect negating the economic benefits of eligibility), prevent Jim Calhoun from making off-campus contacts with recruits during the fall 2012 recruiting period, and reduce the number of regular season games in the 2012-’13 season from 27 to 23.

Now, it’s important to realize that this entire situation is about public relations, and we can better understand the self-imposed sanctions by viewing them that way. In that light, UConn is guilty--in addition to it’s academic shortcomings--of extreme hubris. That UConn won the national championship in the same season that it’s sub-par APR score was revealed (despite the fact that the score in question was not from the championship season itself) posed a PR nightmare for the NCAA. Moreover, the fact that after being assessed the primary punishment of a scholarship reduction, UConn was able to have top recruit in the country join the team as a walk-on, doesn’t exactly paint the NCAA’s punishment as packing that much of a punch. The fact that the NCAA’s adherence to a one-year lag in APR data is as culpable as UConn’s failing academic rate, is a component, but ultimately not one that means anything.

So let’s look at these self-imposed penalties themselves. Borges went so far as to call them “groveling”, and they’re certainly unprecedented. That said, they’re easy to understand from a PR perspective. By forfeiting all economic gains from the tournament and limiting Calhoun’s contact with recruits during the 2012 recruiting period, UConn is attempting to own-up to the program’s shortcomings while shifting the burden off the current players (only one of whom was enrolled at the school during the 2010-’11 season).

In a statement about the self-imposed sanctions available at Borges’ blog, Herbst pushes back against the NCAA’s seemingly arbitrary timeframe stating, “It is unfortunate that our current men’s basketball student-athletes could be punished for the problematic academic performance of other students — students who have not been enrolled at UConn for over two years. That decision would be unfair to innocent young people, which is baffling to us. Regulatory bodies should not change rules retroactively. The NCAA should focus on the future, so that people have the chance to work toward positive change. They should not dredge up the past, and then hurt innocent parties of the present.”

“I believe that it would be wrong to punish these students, caught in the fallout from a sudden passage of new rules — rules that did not exist when they enrolled at UConn,” Herbst says. “That would be a fundamental injustice to our team and to our university.”

She also lays out UConn’s new academic plan which includes actionable changes for how the team supports its student athletes (including presidential involvement) and has already achieved tangible results. All-in-all its a pretty compelling case for a waiver. UConn takes responsibility for its actions, and proves that it has made significant progress. Moreover the highlight the fact that a tournament ban would unduly punish a group of players who have a sterling academic reputation, and all because of an arbitrary adherence to a one-year data lag from the end of the academic year to the reporting of APR scores.

Going against UConn is the fact that because they’re such a high profile case (and because the year lag in reporting caused many to conflate the academic shortcomings with the academic successes of last year’s national championship team), any compromise on the issue will be spun as the NCAA being soft on academics. I’m not trying to be a conspiracy theorist on the matter, but make no mistake about it, if UConn is banned from the 2013 NCAA tournament is will be because the NCAA is deliberately and purposefully making an example out of them.

If the appeal were being made to any kind of rational body I’d be supremely confident that it would be granted. As its being made to the NCAA, I’m fairly pessimistic.

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UConn Continues Futility

Uconn reminds me of the Japanese Groundskeepers in Major League II

I’m not trying to be overly negative, but I also don’t have the patience to energy to find a silver lining in tonight’s performance. Instead I’ll ask you a trivia question:

What was the worst 5-game offensive slump of Jim Calhoun’s coaching tenure?

Over the past 5 games UConn has scored 0.77 points per weighted shot. This is the lowest such total for a 5-game stretch in Jim Calhoun’s 26 year tenure.

Despite a nine-man rotation populated by 3 top-50 recruits and 6 national champions--a roster with a pre-season All-American, two anticipated lottery picks, the number 1 recruit in the country, the number 10 recruit in the country, the top recruit out of the basketball-rich state of Illinois, 4 of the top 5 minute-getters and scorers, and 3 of the top 5 rebounders from the national championship team the previous year--this has been the worst offensive stretch in Calhoun’s entire tenure.

It’s been worse than any five game stretch played by a team full of recruits he inherited from a (rightfully) fired Dom Perno; worse than the rebuilding year of 1996-1997 when two key upper classmen (Kirk King and Ricky Moore) were forced to sit out; worse than any five game stretch in the rebuilding year of 2006-2007 when the coaching staff’s biggest goal was teaching Hasheem Thabeet how to catch a basketball; even worse than the epic meltdown of 2009-2010 in which Jerome Dyson became the pin cushion for UConn’s message board faithful.

Worse still 3 of the 5 opponents (Tennessee, Seton Hall, and Notre Dame) are worse than UConn on paper. There were winnable games in there, and there have been some flukey performances, but it’s been downright ugly. There is plenty of season left to play for sure, but this past 5-game stretch has not been fun to watch. It’s left fans frustrated and the team searching for answers. Hopefully they find some soon, because right now they’re the best answer to a question they’d rather not have asked about them.

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UConn Lineups: A Tale of Two Games

The past two game recaps I’ve posted have been missing lineup data. I was all set to post the Georgetown lineups Friday with an in depth examination of just how much worse UConn played with Shabazz Napier and Alex Oriakhi on the floor. But just as I was getting set to hit “publish”, the Horde started tweeting about Calhoun’s leave of absence and spinal stenosis, and it just didn’t seem like the right time.

In the end it’s good I didn’t post those. Because now, after UConn’s first win in five tries, and after the captain-called team meeting which seems to have re-energized the team, I have a much more positive spin to put on things. First of all, let me throw out the huge caveat that these compare UConn’s worst game of the season (and, indeed, worst offensive performance of the Calhoun era), to a win against a reeling, short-handed Seton Hall team.

First, the bad:

It can’t be overstated: no one was good against Georgetown. Andre Drummond had the best game, but the best UConn do was play even across the 27:20 when he was in the game. (Drummond’s +/- and +/- per possession are both 0). Several of his teammates were conspicuously worse.

Which brings us to, the ugly:

Shabazz Napier and Alex Oriakhi both came off the bench for the first time this season, and the co-captains’ numbers certainly make it seem like the benching affected their play. Napier was in the midst of a 3-game long o-fer (he’s now 1-23, progress!), and Oriakhi only mustered one shot: a missed dunk that resulted in a neck ball. Napier finished the day -14. Oriakhi was -8. Single-game +/- doesn’t reliably reflect game performance, but the other numbers don’t paint a particularly rosy picture either. When Oriakhi was on the floor against Georgetown, the team scored just .18 points per possession! That’s a full half a point below UConn’s PPP of .68 for the game, which was the 2nd lowest such output of the Calhoun era.

Luckily, the co-captains were able to right the ship. Even though UConn’s offense was still ragged against Seton Hall, the energy was back.

The good (you see what I did there? Feel free to read this part with “The Ecstacy of Gold” on repeat, it will be even more victorious):

Let’s give a great big welcome back to Alex Oriakhi: positive force. UConn scored .85 points per possession, but with Oriakhi in the game that number jumped to 1.02. In the time Napier and Oriakhi shared the floor, the team was able to clamp down on D, limiting Seton Hall to .23 points/possession. Again, it’s not fair to attribute this solely to any individual, but it’s nice to see that Oriakhi was on the floor when the team was playing well.

I’m not suggesting we read too much into these numbers. It’s the juxtaposition of UConn’s worst games ever against a 23 point win against a struggling team without its best player. That said, Oriakhi accepting a role as a positive force off the bench is a big deal, and one that’s only going to help the Huskies going forward.

 

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UConn v. Seton Hall By The Numbers

UConn responded to a players-only meeting called by Alex Oriakhi to win it's first game in it's last five tries.

A couple quick numbers and bullets from UConn v. Seton Hall. I’ll have lineup data tomorrow or Monday (after Statsheet puts the play-by-play data up).

By the Numbers

UConn 69
Seton Hall 46

Shooting
eFG% -- UConn -- 45.28%, SH -- 30.17%

Rebounding
UConn Offensive Rebounds: 9/31 (29%)
Seton Hall Offensive Rebounds 13/47: (27%)

Free Throws
UConn: 49.05% FTA/FGA, 80.76% FT%
Seton Hall: 32.76% FTA/FGA, 57.89% FT%

Turnovers
UConn: 16 TOs (20.9% TO%)
Seton Hall: 15 TOs (19.9% TO%)

By the Bullets

  • The offense was ragged, but the energy was finally there. There was one sequence in particular that stood out, when 4 of the 5 players on the court all dove for a loose ball, pig-piling a Seton Hall player in the process. The XL crowd went nuts. George Blaney said after the game that the crowd cheering for effort, “almost brought tears to [his] eyes.” Even if the bricks continued, it was clear that the hunger was restored.
  • Andre Drummond was mired in foul trouble for the first half, but finished with 7 points, 6 rebounds and 7 blocks. He threw down two furious dunks one off a great alley oop from Ryan Boatright (plus he made the free throw for a 3-point play), and one off a rebound follow of a Shabazz Napier layup.
  • UConn is now 4-0 when Ryan Boatright dunks. (His previous dunks came against Holy Cross, St. John’s and West Virginia)
  • Jim Calhoun’s illness was obviously a galvanizing force for this team, but players also point to the team meeting called by co-captain Alex Oriakhi. Oriakhi apologized for having been selfish and worrying about his minutes. He said that he was no longer concerned with personal statistics, and only cared about winning. The rest of the team (particularly Roscoe Smith who had similar concerns), bought in and the result was the energy you saw on the floor this afternoon. The “lack of leadership” label has been applied to this team early and often. It’s been frustrating to hear as a fan, mostly because sportswriters use phrases like “leadership”, “toughness”, and “chemistry” almost interchangeably. It doesn’t matter how many put backs around the rim Alex Oriakhi misses in a game (and there were a few today), he acted like a leader, his teammates listened, and for the first time in a while UConn looked like a cohesive unit. That’s a big deal, and a big cause for hope heading into an extremely rough stretch of schedule.
  • As frustrated as UConn fans/players were coming into this game, it seems like Kevin Willard was equally frustrated coming out. Willard received a double technical foul in a bizarre sequence in the second half. Shabazz Napier wrestled a loose ball away from Jordan Theodore who was whistled for a foul. It was clear things were getting chippy, and Napier clapped enthusiastically near Theodore’s face. The refs broke things up. Then Willard went apoplectic on the officials and sent the refs back to the monitors. When the dust cleared Willard was assessed 2 technicals and ejected, Theodore and Napier were each assessed an offsetting technical (plus Theodore had the personal foul that started the flare up), and UConn went to the line for 6 consecutive free throws. Willard, meanwhile, initially refused to meet with reporters after the game. When he finally did his mood had not improved. He fumed, “I’m the only coach with white guys who can’t shoot!”
  • The key team statistic for UConn today was their 49.05% FTA/FGA ratio. Though obviously inflated by the Kevin Willard memorial free throw orgy, UConn was able to spur their offense by getting to the line early, even when shots weren’t falling.
  • As the guys from The UConn Blog pointed out, this win comes with a big Herb Pope-sized asterix on it, as the Pirates were without their best player. However, it’s also important to remember that last year’s post season started with a win over Depaul with a Cleveland Melvin-sized asterix, and a win over Georgetown with a Chris Wright sized asterix, and ended in Houston. It’s hard to say that this will turn the season the way the Big East Tournament did, but, to quote Herm Edwards, “WE CAN BUILD ON THIS!”
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Was this the worst 3-game stretch in UConn history?

Cliff Robinson UConn center

The past 4 games have been the 2nd worst 4-game offensive stretch since Cliff Robinson was in Storrs..

The number 7 has not been lucky for UConn. In all of Jim Calhoun’s 26 years coaching 3 of his 5 worst seasons (by either total losses or winning percentage) were 1986-87, 1996-97 and 2006-07. They all make sense as rebuilding years in their own way. ’86-87 was Calhoun’s first year when the team was starting Cliff Robinson’s bong at power forward. In ’96-’97 the team had said goodbye to Ray Allen, Travis Knight and Doron Scheffer, and there was plenty of playing time for the class that would become the nucleus of the school’s first national championship team. Plus the team was hampered by the suspensions of Ricky Moore and Kirk King. ’06-’07 was a complete reload after UConn lost 5 players to the NBA draft and 2 more to graduation. There have been other bad years for sure (2009-10 raises it’s hand), but none produced the same consistent offensive ineptitude as these three years—until now.

Wednesday’s game was UConn’s lowest points per weighted shot output going back to at least 1997. I don’t have data going beyond that so it could easily be the lowest PPWS output of the Calhoun era. Prior to yesterday .06 PPWS separated UConn’s lowest PPWS output (a 0.72 PPWS, 66-49 loss at LSU on 1/6/07) from their 8th lowest (a 0.78 PPWS, 65-53 loss to Syracuse on 1/27/97). Now .06 PPWS separates UConn’s new lowest output from its previous nadir.

But yesterday’s game wasn’t an isolated meltdown. In fact by scoring only 44 points last night, UConn has set a new season-low in points in each of the past three games (they had 48 v. Notre Dame and 57 v. Tennessee). That’s good for the 2nd worst 3-game point output in the Calhoun era. The only worse 3-game stretch came during January of the 1997 season. The Huskies scored 46 in a loss at Miami then scored 53 and 47 in home losses to Syracuse and Providence respectively.

If it feels like I’m cherry picking the sample, we can open it up to 4- and 5-game stretches. The current 4-game losing streak (which includes a 70-67 loss to Cincinnati) is the 4th lowest scoring 4-game stretch in the Calhoun era. Of course the top 3 all involve the same clusters of games from the ’97 season. The previously mentioned 3-game streak (@ Miami, Syracuse, Providence) was bookended by a 73-65 home loss to Kansas and a 62-55 victory over Seton Hall. Adding either to the previous 3 produces a worse 4-game stretch than UConn’s past 4 games. The same is true of starting with the Syracuse loss (the mid-point of ‘97’s 3 game disaster) and adding the 52-51 defeat against Georgetown.

If we open up the sample to 5-game stretches (and add UConn’s victory at the Joyce Center this year), we get similar results. There are clusters of games from 1997 (the same suspects) and 1987 ahead of this year. The worst ’97 entry is the five games discussed in the previous paragraph (259 total points, starting with Kansas and ending with Georgetown). The worst of the ’87 clusters is a 269 point stretch featuring a 73-52 loss at Pitt, a 75-50 loss at St. Peter’s, a 64-54 win against Holy Cross, a 59-53 loss at Syracuse, and a 78-50 lost to Georgetown. The next entry, not involving games from the previous clusters, is the 283 points scored over the past five games.

Points per game isn’t the best measure of an offense because it’s quite dependent on the pace of the game, which is determined by an opponent. For instance, the difference between UConn’s points scored Sunday (44) and Wednesday (48) is only 4. This doesn’t seem like much of a difference until you consider that there were 18 more possessions played in Wednesday’s game (which is why it’s the lowest total in points per weighted shot, which takes pace into account). Unfortunately I don’t have access to possession data for games that were played prior to 1997.

By offensive rating (points per 100 possessions) this past 3-game stretch has been UConn’s 4th worst since ’97, though the previous three all feature 3 games from the ’97 cluster-suck.

So, the important thing to keep in mind is that this isn’t UConn’s worst stretch ever. Yes it’s rough, and relative to expectations you could argue that it’s the most disappointing, but it hasn’t been the worst. Also, if you want cosmic synergy try this on for size. The worst 5-game runs from ’87 and ’97 both ended with losses to Georgetown, UConn’s most recent opponent. The only worse 3-game scoring period ended with a victory over…Seton Hall. UConn plays the Pirates on Saturday. And hey, at least there isn’t a 7 in 2012.

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UConn v. Georgetown By the Numbers

An artists rendering of UConn's offense vs. Georgetown. Note the tail print.

 

When I first moved to Manhattan I was initally taken aback by the amount of people you’ll see on a given afternoon walking around with a bag full of dog shit. They’ll just stroll down the road talking on their cell phone, maybe popping into Starbucks to grab a caramel macchiato all the while dangling a sack of Fido’s turds from their wrist. It was gross, but at least they were cleaning up after their dogs. As the weather got warmer two things became readily apparent: 1. no matter how much poop you scoop, you can’t clean up dog pee and 2. sometimes dogs get the runs. It was number 2 (I’ll say no pun intended, but we all know I meant it) that struck me one warm fall morning as I left my apartment to grab a bagel and was greeted by a festering, liquid puddle of dog shit. No amount of plastic baggies was picking that up.

I had no idea what happened. Given the consistency and personal experience I naturally assumed it to be the work of the Taco Bell Chihuahua, but on further examination the sheer volume probably outweighed that little guy by a good 5 lbs. All I knew was it was just about the grossest thing I’d ever seen. I snapped a photo figuring I’d have ample opportunity to text it to a friend as a joke. I never did. Honestly, I’ve never really had occasion to think about it since.

That is, until I watched UConn’s offense last night. After an inspired start, and excepting a few nifty high-low dishes from Tyler Olander to Andre Drummond (and vice versa), UConn’s offense last night was nothing other than a festering puddle of dog shit.

I think that image pretty much speaks for itself. UConn’s efficiency numbers were mind-boggling. They scored .66 (!) points per weighted shot. As a refresher, most teams/players score in the .9-1.1 range, with anything at or above 1.3 being exceptional. .66 is really, exceptionally bad. It’s the lowest PPWS total for a UConn team since at least 1997 (which is where my statsheet data goes back). 1997 is significant because that was one of the worst season’s in the Calhoun era (and one of only two that produced a 4- and 5-game stretches that rival the miasma of the past 5 games).

What’s more the next lowest PPWS total for UConn (which came in that ’97 season), was a full .06 points higher than last night’s output!  Last night was a complete and total meltdown of Chernobyl proportions, and I cannot stress enough how unconscionably bad it was. I will try to give it some historical context in a later post. Right now I’m just amazed by the sheer terribleness.

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